NBA

UPDATE (2/12/08): Last year, after much tinkering, I arrived at a formula that won about 65% of the picks. However that formula was VERY time consuming to feed, taking me about 1-2 hours on a typical day. That's why I tried to come up with a new one this year. But I've given up--couldn't arrive at one that matched last year's accuracy. I've gone back, but only after spending last couple of weeks writing php scripts to automate the data feeding. One caveat: it's possible that I was just lucky last year with that formula and NBA's actually hopeless for me. Another thing, if I win only around 57%, 58%, I'll be happy.

TOTAL: 30-22-1
4/5:
4/4: 3-1
4/2: 2-1
3/8: 1-5
3/7: 5-1
3/5: 2-0
3/2: 2-2
2/26: 1-1
2/24: 2-1
2/22: 3-0
2/21: 1-4
2/20: 3-3
2/19: 3-0
2/13: 2-1-1
2/12: 0-2

4/5
Toronto -6
Denver -11.5

4/4
Detroit
Utah
New Orleans
Houston

4/2
Washington
Boston
Toronto

3/8
Atlanta -7
Indiana +8
New Jersey +13
Houston pick 'em
New York pick 'em
Washington -6.5

3/7
Charlotte pick 'em
Golden State -4.5
Milwaukee +2.5
New Orleans -10
Philadelphia -11
Utah +5.5

3/5
Houston -10
Toronto +2.5

3/2
Boston -10.5
Toronto pick 'em
Portland +5.5
Houston -4

2/26
Sacramento -1.5
Orlando -4.5

2/24
Memphis +11.5
Orlando -7.5
Detroit +2.5

2/22
Washington +3
Atlanta +8.5
LA Lakers -10

2/21
Denver -5
Washington +3.5
New Jersey +5
Utah -5
New Orleans -4

2/20
Boston -2.5
Cleveland -2
Memphis +7
Chicago -3
LA Lakers +3.5
Sacramento -5.5

2/19
Houston +1
LA Lakers -11
San Antonio -10.5

2/13
Boston -9
San Antonio -2
Phoenix +1
Philadelphia -10

2/12
Sacramento
Denver

TOTAL: 37-31 against the spread (best bets: 27-18)
1/27/08: 3-0 (3-0)
1/26/08: 1-0 (1-0)
1/25/08: 2-3 (2-3)
1/19/08: 0-4-1 (0-4-1)
1/18/08: 9-1 (9-1)
1/8/08: 0-4 (0-4)
1/7/08: 0-2 (0-1)
1/6/08: 3-5 (1-2)
1/5/08: 3-3 (2-0)
1/4/08: 4-1 (4-1)
1/3/08: 3-0 (1-0)
1/2/08: 4-5 (3-1)
12/31/07: 5-3 (1-1)

1/27/08
Utah
Minnesota
Seattle

1/26/08
San Antonio

1/25/08
PHOENIX
BOSTON
NEW YORK
PORTLAND
SEATTLE

1/19/08
TORONTO
MIAMI
SAN ANTONIO
DALLAS
DENVER

1/18/08
TORONTO
WASHINGTON
PORTLAND
BOSTON
DETROIT
MEMPHIS
NEW ORLEANS
UTAH
PHOENIX
GOLDEN STATE

home/predicted margin/away
Teams in CAPS are best bets (60%+ chance of covering Bodog's spread)
1/8/08 *I'm in a rush so I'll only list my picks for tonite
PHILADELPHIA
SEATTLE
INDIANA
ORLANDO

1/7/08
phoenix 6.0 denver
golden state -0.1 SAN ANTONIO

1/6/08
toronto 0.8 CLEVELAND
washington 1 SEATTLE
minnesota -8.3 dallas
l.a. clippers -8.4 SAN ANTONIO
memphis 3.1 miami
charlotte 8.1 milwaukee
denver 11.2 philadelphia
l.a. lakers 6.1 indiana

1/5/08
atlanta 4.4 new jersey
detroit 3.6 boston
chicago -0.8 SACRAMENTO
houston 8.5 ny knicks
phoenix 3.5 new orleans
PORTLAND 7.5 utah

1/4/08 (no time except to type up best bets for tonight)
DETROIT
DENVER
WASHINGTON
SAN ANTONIO
NEW ORLEANS

1/3/08
chicago -2 PORTLAND
denver 2 san antonio
phoenix 14 seattle

1/2/08
washington -11 DETROIT
utah 1 philadelphia
la clippers -13 NEW ORLEANS
charlotte -5 chicago
orlando 7 new jersey
cleveland 1 atlanta
indiana 7 memphis
minnesota -8 PORTLAND
dallas 3 GOLDEN STATE

12/31/07
charlotte 0.4 indiana
chicago -3.8 orlando
DETROIT 15.5 milwaukee
houston 0.3 golden state
new orleans 3.2 toronto
utah 3.5 PORTLAND
la clippers 7.7 minnesota
seattle -2.7 philadelphia