UPDATE 1/2/09: Not my year :( I still lead thepredictiontracker.com in accuracy (lowest absolute error) though. CONTACT ME: ben@cover81.com
| ARI | ATL | -0.5 |
| SD | IND | 6.0 |
| MIA | BAL | -0.5 |
| MIN | PHI | 1.0 |
*Predicted margin for the home team.
BEST BETS: San Diego (64% chance of covering +1)
| ARI | SEA | 6.5 |
| ATL | STL | 19.0 |
| BAL | JAC | 1.0 |
| BUF | NE | -4.5 |
| CIN | KC | 0.0 |
| GB | DET | 13.0 |
| HOU | CHI | -1.0 |
| IND | TEN | -2.0 |
| MIN | NYG | 3.5 |
| NYJ | MIA | 2.5 |
| NO | CAR | 1.5 |
| PHI | DAL | 6.5 |
| PIT | CLE | 4.5 |
| SD | DEN | 3.0 |
| SF | WAS | -1.0 |
| TB | OAK | 13.5 |
*Predicted margin for the home team.
BEST BETS: Atlanta, Jacksonville, Kansas City, Chicago, Miami, New Orleans, Philadelphia, Denver.
| HOME | AWAY | *MAR. |
| CHI | NO | 1.0 |
| ARI | MIN | 6.5 |
| ATL | TB | 4.0 |
| BAL | PIT | 6.0 |
| CAR | DEN | 6.0 |
| CIN | WAS | -10.5-11.5 |
| DAL | NYG | -4.5 |
| HOU | TEN | -6.5 |
| IND | DET | 19.0 |
| JAC | GB | -3.5 |
| KC | SD | -7.5 |
| MIA | SF | 5.5 |
| NYJ | BUF | 1.5 |
| OAK | NE | -11.0 |
| STL | SEA | -10.5 |
| PHI | CLE | 11.5 |
*Predicted margin for the home team.
BEST BETS: Arizona (65% chance of covering -3), Baltimore (58%, -2), N.Y. Giants (70%, +3), Tennessee (59%, -3), Buffalo (63%, +7.5), New England (62%, -7), Seattle (74%, -3)
| HOME | AWAY | *MAR. |
| San Diego | Oakland | 7.5 |
| Arizona | St. Louis | 15.5 |
| Baltimore | Washington | 1.5 |
| Buffalo | Miami | -3.5 |
| Chicago | Jacksonville | 1.0 |
| Denver | Kansas City | 9.0 |
| Detroit | Minnesota | -16.0 |
| Green Bay | Houston | 6.0 |
| Indianapolis | Cincinnati | 12.5 |
| N.Y. Giants | Philadelphia | 5.5 |
| New Orleans | Atlanta | 4.0 |
| Pittsburgh | Dallas | 3.0 |
| San Francisco | N.Y. Jets | -4.0 |
| Seattle | New England | -10.5 |
| Tennessee | Cleveland | 13.0 |
| Carolina | Tampa Bay | 7.0 |
*Predicted margin for the home team.
Projected ATS record for this week: 9-7 (Best Bets: 6-3)
BEST BETS: Arizona (55% chance of covering -14), Washington (62%, +5.5), Miami (65%, +1), Jacksonville (70%, +7), Minnesota (72%, -9.5), Cincinnati (55%, +14), Philadelphia (56%, +7.5), New England (68%, -5), Carolina (61%, -3)
BEST BETS: SF (65% chance of covering +6.5), BAL (62%, -7), PIT (60%, +1), OAK (57%, -3), ATL (62%, +5), MIA (70%, -8), TB (60%, -4)
| HOME | AWAY | *MAR. |
| Pittsburgh | Cincinnati | 14.5 |
| Arizona | N.Y. Giants | -2.5 |
| Atlanta | Carolina | 2.5 |
| Baltimore | Philadelphia | -1.0 |
| Cleveland | Houston | -0.5 |
| Dallas | San Francisco | 6.5 |
| Denver | Oakland | 10 |
| Detroit | Tampa Bay | -12.0 |
| Jacksonville | Minnesota | 3.5 |
| Kansas City | Buffalo | -7.0 |
| Miami | New England | 4.5 |
| San Diego | Indianapolis | -0.5 |
| Seattle | Washington | -6.0 |
| St. Louis | Chicago | -12.5 |
| Tennessee | N.Y. Jets | 7.0 |
| New Orleans | Green Bay | -1.0 |
*Predicted margin for the home team.
Projected ATS record for this week: 9-7 (Best Bets: 3-2)
BEST BETS: Houston (61% chance of covering +3), San Francisco (65%, +10.5), Miami (62%, pick 'em), Chicago (65%, -8), Green Bay (62%, +3)
| HOME | AWAY | *MAR. |
| New England | N.Y. Jets | -5.0 |
| Atlanta | Denver | 7.5 |
| Carolina | Detroit | 21.0 |
| Cincinnati | Philadelphia | -15.0 |
| Green Bay | Chicago | 3.5 |
| Indianapolis | Houston | 8.0 |
| Jacksonville | Tennessee | -4.0 |
| Kansas City | New Orleans | -9.5 |
| Miami | Oakland | 14.5 |
| N.Y. Giants | Baltimore | 5.5 |
| Pittsburgh | San Diego | 7.5 |
| San Francisco | St. Louis | 15.0 |
| Seattle | Arizona | -3.0 |
| Tampa Bay | Minnesota | 13.0 |
| Washington | Dallas | 5.0 |
| Buffalo | Cleveland | 0.5 |
*Predicted margin for the home team.
Projected ATS record for this week: 9-7 (Best Bets: 4-2)
BEST BETS: N.Y. Jets (74% chance of covering +3.5), Carolina (70%, -14), Philadelphia (65%, +9), San Francisco (70%, -7), Tampa Bay (79%, -4), Washington (69%, +1.5--yes, with Romo starting. CAUTION: Dallas may exceed my system's expectation due to a purely *emotional* lift the team gets from Romo's return)
| HOME | AWAY | *MAR. |
| Cleveland | Denver | -3.0 |
| Atlanta | New Orleans | -0.5 |
| Chicago | Tennessee | -5.5 |
| Detroit | Jacksonville | -7.0 |
| Houston | Baltimore | -3.5 |
| Miami | Seattle | 10.5 |
| Minnesota | Green Bay | 3.5 |
| N.Y. Jets | St. Louis | 12.0 |
| New England | Buffalo | 0.5 |
| Oakland | Carolina | -14.0 |
| Philadelphia | N.Y. Giants | -2.0 |
| Pittsburgh | Indianapolis | 5.5 |
| San Diego | Kansas City | 17.5 |
| Arizona | San Francisco | 10.0 |
*Predicted margin for the home team.
| HOME | AWAY | *MAR. |
| Buffalo | N.Y. Jets | 5.0 |
| Chicago | Detroit | 19.5 |
| Cincinnati | Jacksonville | -9.5 |
| Cleveland | Baltimore | -10.5 |
| Denver | Miami | -2.5 |
| Indianapolis | New England | 3.0 |
| Kansas City | Tampa Bay | -16.0 |
| Minnesota | Houston | 10.5 |
| N.Y. Giants | Dallas | 12.0 |
| Oakland | Atlanta | -8.0 |
| Seattle | Philadelphia | -13.0 |
| St. Louis | Arizona | -7.5 |
| Tennessee | Green Bay | 1.0 |
| Washington | Pittsburgh | 6.5 |
BEST BETS: Chicago -12.5, Baltimore +2.5, Tampa Bay +9, Minnesota -4, Philadelphia +6.5
| HOME | AWAY | *MAR. |
| Baltimore | Oakland | 7.0 |
| Carolina | Arizona | 1.0 |
| Dallas | Tampa Bay | -1.5 |
| Detroit | Washington | -5.5 |
| Houston | Cincinnati | 8.0 |
| Jacksonville | Cleveland | 5.0 |
| Miami | Buffalo | -0.5 |
| N.Y. Jets | Kansas City | 10.5 |
| New England | St. Louis | 10.5 |
| New Orleans | San Diego | -1.0 |
| Philadelphia | Atlanta | 4.0 |
| Pittsburgh | N.Y. Giants | 3.0 |
| San Francisco | Seattle | 7.0 |
| Tennessee | Indianapolis | 1.0 |
| HOME | AWAY | *MAR. |
| Buffalo | San Diego | -0.5 |
| Carolina | New Orleans | -5 |
| Chicago | Minnesota | 8.5 |
| Cincinnati | Pittsburgh | -6 |
| Green Bay | Indianapolis | -0.5 |
| Houston | Detroit | 5 |
| Kansas City | Tennessee | -9.5 |
| Miami | Baltimore | 0.5 |
| N.Y. Giants | San Francisco | 8 |
| Oakland | N.Y. Jets | 0.5 |
| St. Louis | Dallas | -3 |
| Tampa Bay | Seattle | 8 |
| Washington | Cleveland | 5 |
| New England | Denver | 5 |
| HOME | AWAY | *MAR. |
| Arizona | Buffalo | 1 |
| Baltimore | Tennessee | -2 |
| Carolina | Kansas City | 10 |
| Dallas | Cincinnati | 13.5 |
| Denver | Tampa Bay | -0.5 |
| Detroit | Chicago | -5 |
| Green Bay | Atlanta | 8 |
| Houston | Indianapolis | -2.5 |
| Jacksonville | Pittsburgh | 2 |
| Miami | San Diego | -1.5 |
| N.Y. Giants | Seattle | 6 |
| Philadelphia | Washington | 6 |
| San Francisco | New England | 1 |
| New Orleans | Minnesota | 4.5 |
| HOME | AWAY | *MAR. |
| Carolina | Atlanta | 7 |
| Chicago | Philadelphia | -3 |
| Cincinnati | Cleveland | 1 |
| Dallas | Washington | 9.5 |
| Jacksonville | Houston | 4.5 |
| Kansas City | Denver | -8 |
| N.Y. Jets | Arizona | 1 |
| New Orleans | San Francisco | 6.5 |
| Oakland | San Diego | -8 |
| St. Louis | Buffalo | -11 |
| Tampa Bay | Green Bay | -1 |
| Tennessee | Minnesota | 4 |
| Pittsburgh | Baltimore | 6.5 |
| HOME | AWAY | *MAR. |
| Atlanta | Kansas City | 3.5 |
| Baltimore | Cleveland | 4 |
| Buffalo | Oakland | 7 |
| Chicago | Tampa Bay | 1 |
| Denver | New Orleans | 6 |
| Green Bay | Dallas | 0.5 |
| Indianapolis | Jacksonville | 3.5 |
| Minnesota | Carolina | 4 |
| N.Y. Giants | Cincinnati | 13 |
| New England | Miami | 12 |
| Philadelphia | Pittsburgh | 5 |
| San Francisco | Detroit | 3 |
| Seattle | St. Louis | 8 |
| Tennessee | Houston | 5 |
| Washington | Arizona | 3 |
| San Diego | N.Y. Jets | 9 |
| HOME | AWAY | *MAR. |
| Arizona | Miami | 7 |
| Carolina | Chicago | 1 |
| Cincinnati | Tenneessee | 0 |
| Cleveland | Pittsburgh | -8 |
| Denver | San Diego | -2.5 |
| Detroit | Green Bay | -7.5 |
| Dallas | Philadelphia | 0 |
| Houston | Baltimore | -1.5 |
| Jacksonville | Buffalo | 5.5 |
| Kansas City | Oakland | 6 |
| Minnesota | Indianapolis | 1.5 |
| N.Y. Jets | New England | -4 |
| Seattle | San Francisco | 11 |
| St. Louis | N.Y. Giants | -10 |
| Tampa Bay | Atlanta | 10.5 |
| Washington | New Orleans | 0 |
Week 1 (RESULT: 10-6 straight up, 5-10 against the spread)
*Washington at N.Y. Giants (3)
Cincinnati at *Baltimore (1)
Carolina at *San Diego (10)
*Minnesota at Green Bay (0)
*Detroit (4.5) at Atlanta
*Dallas (8) at Cleveland
Kansas City at *New England (19)
*Arizona (3) at San Francisco
*Jacksonville (6) at Tennessee
St. Louis at *Philadelphia (12)
*Houston at Pittsburgh (6.0)
Chicago at *Indianapolis (9.5)
*Denver (5) at Oakland
*Seattle (7) at Buffalo
*Tampa Bay (1.5) at New Orleans
N.Y. Jets (1) at *Miami
The team with parentheses next to it is the expected winner, the number being the predicted margin.