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UPDATE 1/2/09: Not my year :( I still lead thepredictiontracker.com in accuracy (lowest absolute error) though. CONTACT ME: ben@cover81.com

Full Formula 2.0: 46-52, Best Bets: 26-24

Lite Formula: 49-45

NFL Playoffs (0-0 against the spread, 0-0 best bets)

ARIATL-0.5
SDIND6.0
MIABAL-0.5
MINPHI1.0

*Predicted margin for the home team.

BEST BETS: San Diego (64% chance of covering +1)



Week 17 (6-8 against the spread, 3-4 best bets)

ARISEA6.5
ATLSTL19.0
BALJAC1.0
BUFNE-4.5
CINKC0.0
GBDET13.0
HOUCHI-1.0
INDTEN-2.0
MINNYG3.5
NYJMIA2.5
NOCAR1.5
PHIDAL6.5
PITCLE4.5
SDDEN3.0
SFWAS-1.0
TBOAK13.5

*Predicted margin for the home team.

BEST BETS: Atlanta, Jacksonville, Kansas City, Chicago, Miami, New Orleans, Philadelphia, Denver.



Week 15 (6-8 against the spread, 3-4 best bets)

-10.5
CHINO1.0
ARIMIN6.5
ATLTB4.0
BALPIT6.0
CARDEN6.0
CINWAS-11.5
DALNYG-4.5
HOUTEN-6.5
INDDET19.0
JACGB-3.5
KCSD-7.5
MIASF5.5
NYJBUF1.5
OAKNE-11.0
STLSEA-10.5
PHICLE11.5

*Predicted margin for the home team.

BEST BETS: Arizona (65% chance of covering -3), Baltimore (58%, -2), N.Y. Giants (70%, +3), Tennessee (59%, -3), Buffalo (63%, +7.5), New England (62%, -7), Seattle (74%, -3)



Week 14 (5-9 against the spread, 4-5 best bets)

San DiegoOakland7.5
ArizonaSt. Louis15.5
BaltimoreWashington1.5
BuffaloMiami-3.5
ChicagoJacksonville1.0
DenverKansas City9.0
DetroitMinnesota-16.0
Green BayHouston6.0
IndianapolisCincinnati12.5
N.Y. GiantsPhiladelphia5.5
New OrleansAtlanta4.0
PittsburghDallas3.0
San FranciscoN.Y. Jets-4.0
SeattleNew England-10.5
TennesseeCleveland13.0
CarolinaTampa Bay7.0

*Predicted margin for the home team.

Projected ATS record for this week: 9-7 (Best Bets: 6-3)

BEST BETS: Arizona (55% chance of covering -14), Washington (62%, +5.5), Miami (65%, +1), Jacksonville (70%, +7), Minnesota (72%, -9.5), Cincinnati (55%, +14), Philadelphia (56%, +7.5), New England (68%, -5), Carolina (61%, -3)



Week 13 (5-2 best bets)

BEST BETS: SF (65% chance of covering +6.5), BAL (62%, -7), PIT (60%, +1), OAK (57%, -3), ATL (62%, +5), MIA (70%, -8), TB (60%, -4)



Week 12 (6-8 against the spread, 2-3 best bets)

PittsburghCincinnati14.5
ArizonaN.Y. Giants-2.5
AtlantaCarolina2.5
BaltimorePhiladelphia-1.0
ClevelandHouston-0.5
DallasSan Francisco6.5
DenverOakland10
DetroitTampa Bay-12.0
JacksonvilleMinnesota3.5
Kansas CityBuffalo-7.0
MiamiNew England4.5
San DiegoIndianapolis-0.5
SeattleWashington-6.0
St. LouisChicago-12.5
TennesseeN.Y. Jets7.0
New OrleansGreen Bay-1.0

*Predicted margin for the home team.

Projected ATS record for this week: 9-7 (Best Bets: 3-2)

BEST BETS: Houston (61% chance of covering +3), San Francisco (65%, +10.5), Miami (62%, pick 'em), Chicago (65%, -8), Green Bay (62%, +3)



Week 11 (6-8 against the spread, 3-3 best bets)

New EnglandN.Y. Jets-5.0
AtlantaDenver7.5
CarolinaDetroit21.0
CincinnatiPhiladelphia-15.0
Green BayChicago3.5
IndianapolisHouston8.0
JacksonvilleTennessee-4.0
Kansas CityNew Orleans-9.5
MiamiOakland14.5
N.Y. GiantsBaltimore5.5
PittsburghSan Diego7.5
San FranciscoSt. Louis15.0
SeattleArizona-3.0
Tampa BayMinnesota13.0
WashingtonDallas5.0
BuffaloCleveland0.5

*Predicted margin for the home team.

Projected ATS record for this week: 9-7 (Best Bets: 4-2)

BEST BETS: N.Y. Jets (74% chance of covering +3.5), Carolina (70%, -14), Philadelphia (65%, +9), San Francisco (70%, -7), Tampa Bay (79%, -4), Washington (69%, +1.5--yes, with Romo starting. CAUTION: Dallas may exceed my system's expectation due to a purely *emotional* lift the team gets from Romo's return)



Week 10 (7-7 against the spread, 3-1 best bets)

ClevelandDenver-3.0
AtlantaNew Orleans-0.5
ChicagoTennessee-5.5
DetroitJacksonville-7.0
HoustonBaltimore-3.5
MiamiSeattle10.5
MinnesotaGreen Bay3.5
N.Y. JetsSt. Louis12.0
New EnglandBuffalo0.5
OaklandCarolina-14.0
PhiladelphiaN.Y. Giants-2.0
PittsburghIndianapolis5.5
San DiegoKansas City17.5
ArizonaSan Francisco10.0

*Predicted margin for the home team.



Week 9 (9-4 against the spread, 3-2 best bets)

BuffaloN.Y. Jets5.0
ChicagoDetroit19.5
CincinnatiJacksonville-9.5
ClevelandBaltimore-10.5
DenverMiami-2.5
IndianapolisNew England3.0
Kansas CityTampa Bay-16.0
MinnesotaHouston10.5
N.Y. GiantsDallas12.0
OaklandAtlanta-8.0
SeattlePhiladelphia-13.0
St. LouisArizona-7.5
TennesseeGreen Bay1.0
WashingtonPittsburgh6.5

BEST BETS: Chicago -12.5, Baltimore +2.5, Tampa Bay +9, Minnesota -4, Philadelphia +6.5



Week 8 (?-? straight up, 4-10 against the spread

BaltimoreOakland7.0
CarolinaArizona1.0
DallasTampa Bay-1.5
DetroitWashington-5.5
HoustonCincinnati8.0
JacksonvilleCleveland5.0
MiamiBuffalo-0.5
N.Y. JetsKansas City10.5
New EnglandSt. Louis10.5
New OrleansSan Diego-1.0
PhiladelphiaAtlanta4.0
PittsburghN.Y. Giants3.0
San FranciscoSeattle7.0
TennesseeIndianapolis1.0


Week 7 (9-5 straight up, 10-4 against the spread)

BuffaloSan Diego-0.5
CarolinaNew Orleans-5
ChicagoMinnesota8.5
CincinnatiPittsburgh-6
Green BayIndianapolis-0.5
HoustonDetroit5
Kansas CityTennessee-9.5
MiamiBaltimore0.5
N.Y. GiantsSan Francisco8
OaklandN.Y. Jets0.5
St. LouisDallas-3
Tampa BaySeattle8
WashingtonCleveland5
New EnglandDenver5


Week 5 (?-? straight up, 6-7 against the spread)

ArizonaBuffalo1
BaltimoreTennessee-2
CarolinaKansas City10
DallasCincinnati13.5
DenverTampa Bay-0.5
DetroitChicago-5
Green BayAtlanta8
HoustonIndianapolis-2.5
JacksonvillePittsburgh2
MiamiSan Diego-1.5
N.Y. GiantsSeattle6
PhiladelphiaWashington6
San FranciscoNew England1
New OrleansMinnesota4.5


Week 4 (9-4 straight up, 8-2 against the spread)

CarolinaAtlanta7
ChicagoPhiladelphia-3
CincinnatiCleveland1
DallasWashington9.5
JacksonvilleHouston4.5
Kansas CityDenver-8
N.Y. JetsArizona1
New OrleansSan Francisco6.5
OaklandSan Diego-8
St. LouisBuffalo-11
Tampa BayGreen Bay-1
TennesseeMinnesota4
PittsburghBaltimore6.5


Week 3 (RESULT: 12-4 straight up, 9-5 against the spread

AtlantaKansas City3.5
BaltimoreCleveland4
BuffaloOakland7
ChicagoTampa Bay1
DenverNew Orleans6
Green BayDallas0.5
IndianapolisJacksonville3.5
MinnesotaCarolina4
N.Y. GiantsCincinnati13
New EnglandMiami12
PhiladelphiaPittsburgh5
San FranciscoDetroit3
SeattleSt. Louis8
TennesseeHouston5
WashingtonArizona3
San DiegoN.Y. Jets9


Week 2 (RESULT: 9-6 straight up, 7-7-1 against the spread)

ArizonaMiami7
CarolinaChicago1
CincinnatiTenneessee0
ClevelandPittsburgh-8
DenverSan Diego-2.5
DetroitGreen Bay-7.5
DallasPhiladelphia0
HoustonBaltimore-1.5
JacksonvilleBuffalo5.5
Kansas CityOakland6
MinnesotaIndianapolis1.5
N.Y. JetsNew England-4
SeattleSan Francisco11
St. LouisN.Y. Giants-10
Tampa BayAtlanta10.5
WashingtonNew Orleans0


Week 1 (RESULT: 10-6 straight up, 5-10 against the spread)

*Washington at N.Y. Giants (3)
Cincinnati at *Baltimore (1)
Carolina at *San Diego (10)
*Minnesota at Green Bay (0)
*Detroit (4.5) at Atlanta
*Dallas (8) at Cleveland
Kansas City at *New England (19)
*Arizona (3) at San Francisco
*Jacksonville (6) at Tennessee
St. Louis at *Philadelphia (12)
*Houston at Pittsburgh (6.0)
Chicago at *Indianapolis (9.5)
*Denver (5) at Oakland
*Seattle (7) at Buffalo
*Tampa Bay (1.5) at New Orleans
N.Y. Jets (1) at *Miami

The team with parentheses next to it is the expected winner, the number being the predicted margin.